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Poor SUV Owners

October 12, 2008
posted by admin

I’ve picked on SUV drivers a few times on this blog. To tell the truth, it’s been too easy. Despite their best — and most hilarious — efforts at over-compensation, and attempts to pump them up with government subsidies, sales are down. You can hardly blame them for having a bad case of what I call “Prius envy.” It’s almost to make you feel sorry for them, but that’s not quite what I mean by “poor SUV drivers.”

Americans’ love affair with 22-inch rims, eight cylinders and four-wheel drive wrapped in an 8,000-pound package is over. And the breakup is going to cost.

With $4-a-gallon gas coming between drivers and their very large vehicles, consumers are dropping their once-beloved rides, fast. But not fast enough, it seems. As the price of gas has gone up, the value of sport-utility vehicles has gone down.

In the past six months, the price of a used Chevrolet Suburban has dropped as much as $8,000, said Mike Parker, manager of used-car sales at Lustine Toyota/Dodge in Woodbridge.

For those determined to swap their fuel-thirsty behemoths for gas-sipping subcompacts, the glut increasingly means taking a financial hit. In the worst cases, declining SUV values leave owners owing more money to the bank than their vehicle is worth.

The question they face is: Which is worse for the wallet — the cost of gas or the money lost selling the vehicle?

That’s gotta hurt.

But what are you gonna do when it costs $100 to fill your tank these days?

07-07-08_1728

With gasoline prices high and rising, a new financial milestone has arrived: the $100 tank of gas.

Bryan Carisone, a heating and air-conditioning contractor in Raritan, N.J., “absolutely loves” his new GMC Denali XL, an extra-large sport utility vehicle with televisions built into the leather seats. But in June, one week after he bought it, he pulled into a station on a near-empty tank and watched the total climb higher and higher — to $109.

“It just about killed me,” Mr. Carisone said.

For decades, the $100 barrel stood as a hypothetical outlier in doom-and-gloom conversations about future oil prices. And nobody could even imagine an American family paying $100 to fill the tank.

But the future is here. Oil passed $100 a barrel in January and now seems headed toward $150 a barrel. Gasoline prices surpassed $4 a gallon on June 8, stalled for a while, and have been rising again in recent days, setting a record Saturday.

By late spring, owners of pickups and sport utility vehicles with 30-gallon tanks, like the Cadillac Escalade ESV and Chevrolet Suburban, started paying $100 or more to fill a near-empty tank. As gas prices continue to rise — the national average stood at about $4.10 a gallon Saturday — membership in the triple-digit club is growing. Now, even not-so-gargantuan Toyota Land Cruisers and GMC Yukons can cost $100 to fill up.

Data on exactly how often people pay $100 for a tank of gas are scarce, given price variations from market to market and day to day. But during the first five months of 2008, about 11 percent of American drivers said they bought 24 gallons or more at their last fill-up, according to a survey of 81,000 drivers by the NPD Group, a market research firm — which at today’s prices would place many of them at or around $100.

For people who love their big vehicles, the pain is acute.

It’s a pain that also happens to be unecessary. Or at least it was something that could have been avoided.

I remember standing in front of the television, just a few weeks after 9/11, shaking my head at advertising that all-but-said it was our patriotic duty to buy a truck or SUV.

The nation’s No. 1 auto maker, General Motors, is running a campaign infused with patriotic elements to promote a zero percent financing program. A TV commercial began with an announcer reciting: ”The American dream. We refuse to let anyone take it away.” A print ad ended with these words: ”This may very well be the most serious crisis our nation has ever faced. In this time of terrible adversity, let’s stand together. And keep America rolling.” Indeed, ”Keep America rolling” is the theme of the campaign.

”It’s a fine line between calling the program what it is and going too far,” said C. J. Fraleigh, executive director for advertising and corporate marketing at General Motors in Detroit. ”I think we struck the right balance.”

”The auto industry is a major component of the U.S. economy and we’re the largest company in the industry,” he added. ”The size and history of G.M. gives us a legitimate license to talk about our role in the economy. It is appropriate, again, if you don’t cross the line.”

Mr. Adamson of Landor agreed that the patriotic appeals may work best when, he said, ”it is relevant to the core brand idea.”

”Major League Baseball has done a terrific job of wrapping itself in the flag,” he added, referring to television commercials, ”and it works, because baseball’s core is American.”

Even so, ”over a period of time, its relevance diminishes,” Mr. Adamson said, ”as consumers begin to ask what does it have to do with the brand.

”And that could do damage,” he added.

I don’t remember if it was a GM commercial, but I remember one that featured a bevy of gas guzzlers, billowing flags, and an enthusiastic chorus singing, “Keep on rollin’! Keep on rollin’! Woo, hoo, hoo!” I shook my head, because it seemed clear that people didn’t get it, and were absolutely committed to not getting it. The president did tell us tha that the best thing we could do for our country in that moment of crisis was to go shopping (read, acquire more debt), but the last thing we needed to do was increase our oil dependency by purchasing even more fuel-inefficient vehicles. The last thing we needed was for the government to subsidize the sale of those vehicles.

But that’s exactly what we did. And we acted as if there wasn’t a price to pay somewhere down the road.

Ninety percent of Americans, meanwhile, expect the pain at the pump to pose a financial hardship in the next six months, according to a recent Associated Press-Yahoo News poll. Stocks now trade inversely to crude prices, and the Dow Jones industrials are in bear-market territory. Old icons have been written off, with Starbucks boasting nearly twice the market value of General Motors, which some on Wall Street say faces the possibility of bankruptcy.

Outside the thriving oil patch, it makes for a bleak economic picture. But it didn’t have to be this way.

Over the last 25 years, opportunities to head off the current crisis were ignored, missed or deliberately blocked, according to analysts, politicians and veterans of the oil and automobile industries. What’s more, for all the surprise at just how high oil prices have climbed, and fears for the future, this is one crisis we were warned about. Ever since the oil shortages of the 1970s, one report after another has cautioned against America’s oil addiction.

Even as politicians heatedly debate opening new regions to drilling, corralling energy speculators, or starting an Apollo-like effort to find renewable energy supplies, analysts say the real source of the problem is closer to home. In fact, it’s parked in our driveways.

SO despite the fierce debate over what’s behind the recent spike in prices, no one differs on what’s really responsible for all that underlying demand here for black gold: the automobile, fueled not only by gasoline but also by Americans’ famous propensity for voracious consumption.

…To be sure, the American appetite for crude oil is only one reason for the recent price surge. But the country’s dependence on imported oil has only kept growing in recent years, undermining the trade balance and putting an added strain on global supplies.

Although the road to $4 gasoline and increased oil dependence has been paved in places like Detroit, Houston and Riyadh, it runs through Washington as well, where policy makers have let the problem make lengthy pit stops.

“Much of what we’re seeing today could have been prevented or ameliorated had we chosen to act differently,” says Pete V. Domenici, the ranking Republican member of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee and a 36-year veteran of the Senate. “It was a bipartisan failure to act.”

Mike Jackson, the chief executive of AutoNation, the country’s biggest automobile retailer, is even more blunt. “It was totally preventable,” he says, anger creeping into his affable car-salesman’s pitch.

…Though analysts say automakers who shoveled out highly profitable and highly inefficient road hogs like S.U.V.’s and pickups deserve much of the blame, they also criticize legislators who failed to provide an incentive for consumers to switch to fuel-sipping cars. Some politicians are quick to acknowledge the problem.

“We’ve got to fix it or our standard of living will change within a decade,” says Senator Domenici, who is retiring this year. “Oil was too damn cheap, it’s too high now and it’s going even higher. I hope I’m wrong, but the problem is, we can’t catch up soon enough.”

We can’t catch up soon enough?

That’s right. “We.” Because the truth is, no matter what we have in our driveways —even if we don’t own a vehicle at all — we all SUV owners in a way And we’re all paying for that, on way or another.


Microsoft Takes in $60.4 Billion

October 11, 2008
posted by admin

Microsoft Takes in $60.4 Billion Even by Microsoft’s healthy standards, the figure is high. The $60.4 billion revenue it reported for the fiscal year ending June 30 is a record. And the net profit of $4.3 billion for the April-June quarter is none too shabby, either, up 41% from the same period in 2007. But not all the news is good. Microsoft’s online services business continued to underperform and disappointed analysts, with a $488 million loss from April to June, making for an operating income loss of $1.2 billion for the year, double that of 2007. Microsoft chief financial officer Chris Liddell said: "This is the area where we are seeing direct impact from the economic slowdo

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Music Trades - But not all economic...

October 10, 2008
posted by admin

February 1, 2008 -- December saw two large national retailers announce liquidation proceedings. Computer store CompUSA has hired Gordon Brothers to liquidate inventory...


Top McCain Econ Adviser: “We...

October 09, 2008
posted by admin

  In an interview with the Washington Times, top McCain economic adviser Phil Gramm (yes, that Phil Gramm) has some comforting words for the millions of Americans struggling to pay their bills.

Washington Times:

“You’ve heard of mental depression; this is a mental recession,” he said, noting that growth has held up at about 1 percent despite all the publicity over losing jobs to India, China, illegal immigration, housing and credit problems and record oil prices. “We may have a recession; we haven’t had one yet.”

“We have sort of become a nation of whiners,” he said. “You just hear this constant whining, complaining about a loss of competitiveness, America in decline” despite a major export boom that is the primary reason that growth continues in the economy, he said.

So after eight years of disastrous Republican policies, all the McCain campaign has to offer is a blame-the-victim, suck-it-up attack on average Americans. I’m sure a continuation of George Bush’s tax cuts — ya know, the ones that used to offend McCain’s conscience— will get us back on the right track. Then we can all stop “whining” about losing our homes and altering our lifestyles.  Christy at FDL has more…

UPDATE:  (Nicole)  McCain’s been caught on tape saying that recession is a “psychological problem” too.  I tell you, McCain’s surrogates sure are on the pulse of America now, aren’t they? (/snark)  Let’s recap:

*   Charlie Black says that another terrorist attack would be a “big advantage” for McCain;
*   Phil Gramm lectures us that our economic problems are mental and we’re just a nation of whiner;
*   CarlyFiorina lies about Barack Obama’s (D) record and then shows her complete cluelessness about McCain’s own record on women’s issues;
*   Rudy Giuliani says Obama is “capturing” an “anti-American feeling” that exists in Europe, where Obama is “popular.” (Links courtesy of The Political Base) and just yesterday, Gramm trashed the middle class on Kudlow:

And yet, Obama is supposed to be the “elitist?

UPDATE II: Obama responds: “Let’s be clear. This economic turndown is not in your head; America already has one Dr. Phil” 

McCain camp initially stood by the remarks. Now they don’t.

Kos: “Clinging” versus “whining”. Guess which one makes big news, and which one doesn’t.


Live From Main Street: Miami's...

October 08, 2008
posted by admin

Facing Miami's economic and housing crunch and building a stronger sustainable city.

-- Thank you for catching our podcast! We provide programs FREE to radio stations and do not accept government or corporate support, so PLEASE DONATE at:
http://www.radioproject.org/support.


AFP - Dollar weakens on downbeat...

October 07, 2008
posted by admin

June 24, 2008 -- NEW YORK (AFP) — The dollar weakened against other major currencies Tuesday in the face of downbeat economic news on US consumer confidence and...


AFP - Dollar mixed on varied...

October 06, 2008
posted by admin

June 2, 2008 -- NEW YORK (AFP) — The dollar was mixed against other world currencies Monday amid a flurry of varied economic reports and as traders awaited...


AFP - Dollar supported by economic news

October 05, 2008
posted by admin

January 8, 2007 -- NEW YORK (AFP) — The dollar showed scant movement against the euro after a senior Federal Reserve official said the US economy was on a...


Economic Bulletin - The effects of...

October 04, 2008
posted by admin

April 1, 2008 -- Interest rates and other financial asset prices are based on expectations about economic developments. Asset prices react to new information. In this...


Oakland Tribune - Good economic news...

October 03, 2008
posted by admin

August 27, 2008 -- There is some encouraging news about the troubled $13.8 trillion U.S. economy. At the top of the good news list is declining oil prices. Crude oil...


June 2008 Dashboard: Automakers See Red

October 02, 2008
posted by admin

As gasoline prices climbed and economic conditions worsened, those in the market for new vehicles were thinking about fuel efficiency. This should have fueled hybrid sales growth, but instead every hybrid model saw sales declines, due largely to an ill-timed drop in the supply of hybrids.

read more


AFP - Dollar gains on economic news,...

October 01, 2008
posted by admin

July 29, 2008 -- NEW YORK (AFP) — The dollar gained against other major currencies Tuesday on the back of better-than-expected economic news and as world oil...


USA TODAY - Bad economic news...

September 30, 2008
posted by admin

March 31, 2008 -- Last week's economic news wasn't good, and data released this week aren't going to be much better, economists say.April will probably be a...


West Seattle Summer Fest, Day 3:...

September 29, 2008
posted by admin

(adding frequent updates, including photos, at the bottom of this post - scroll down!)

lattechair.jpg

(that whimsical chair’s on sale at the Art Dive tent, just north of Oregon, artist is Alicia Hopkins, mnahopkins (at) aol.com)
Our third and final day of frequent updates from the WSB Summer Fest HQ in the official Information Booth (come say hi, right in the Walk All Ways intersection at California/Alaska) starts shortly. Our team member who’s first on the scene reports things are getting busy already. The booths are scheduled to be open till 7 pm tonight (fixed typo from earlier - it is SEVEN, and the music continues till then too). More to come - you can find all the official info (including the music lineup) here.11:58 AM UPDATE: The first session of kids’ karaoke is about to start - later than the original time we were given - should be fun. 12:45 PM UPDATE: OK, kids’ karaoke is still delayed - waiting for the stage to arrive. Meantime, the traditional Sunday anti-war protest by West Seattle Neighbors for Peace and Justice is happening as usual - the demonstrators are marching up and down the booth lines, rather than back and forth across the Walk All Ways intersection as usual. We’ve just spotted the Highland Park Action Committee with “NO JAIL” signs too:

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That’s Dina and Blair Johnson from HPAC. Meantime, we’re checking out even more of the vendor booths — here’s some of what you’ll see at the Smersh Design booth (Frances and John Smersh, same folks behind Click! Design That Fits[WSB sponsor] in Admiral) - which is on the west side of California between Alaska and Edmunds:

smershstuff.jpg

Reusable shopping bags, too. And that’s far from the only environmentally oriented merchandise you’ll find: there’s an intriguing booth called “Worm Mama” (composting components, and worm castings you can use for fertilizer if you don’t want to “grow” it yourself) on the east side of the block between Alaska and Oregon:

wormmama.jpg

1:35 PM UPDATE: The Information Booth is centerstage for a lot of short-term drama - yet another missing child just reunited with parents, thanks to everyone from the West Seattle Chamber of Commerce folks manning the booth, festival staff, and Seattle Police springing to fast action - cute little toddler whose folks got separated from him just yards away. (And in an away-from-the-festival happy ending, we just got word via e-mail that the latest lost dog posted on the WSB Pets page has been reunited with its owner/s - yay!) We’ve also been talking to even more folks who we’ve known online via WSB but never met in person - including “Ellenater,” who we first met when she posted to the WSB Forum (and then we quickly reposted it to the home page) that she and her family wanted to move here and needed help finding a rental - lots of great folks came through with advice - the whole family just stopped by the Info Booth, and they’ve been here a week now, and feel like they’re “in heaven.” (Us too.) 1:56 PM UPDATE: Dropped by the special pet area behind Next to Nature - found a couple of pups eyeing the wading pool, even though it’s not that hot so far today (nice breeze right now):

wadingpool.jpg

P.S. now looks like Kids’ Karaoke might be on indefinite hold due to some technical trouble. 2:58 PM UPDATE: Just back from another tour of the southern half of the vendor rows - Teri at Furry Faces Foundation (booth by Petco, where you can buy pet toys, bumper stickers, etc.) has now announced a fun fundraiser coming up in the fall, “Catsino” at Beveridge Place Pub, 2-6 pm November 1st - games, prizes, food - more details to come. We also chatted with Rosemary Parris of Forest Lawn, who wants to get the word out about something you might be able to help with - They’re putting together a history of the sprawling cemetery (east of High Point) and they’re looking for photographs; if you have any Forest Lawn photos from recent history or long-ago history, please let Rosemary know - you can e-mail her a copy, or even contact her and she’ll arrange to scan them. You can call her at 206-932-0050, or e-mail her at rosemary.parris (at) sci-us.com… FREEBIE ALERT: Last night we mentioned a recommendation for the iced coffee at Frog Hollow Coffee (not far from Furry Faces) - walked by to grab a photo, and they’re offering free samples.

froghollow.jpg

elephantear.jpgIn other consumable news, seven-word food review for Elephant Ears, which Junior Member of the Firm decided to try ($5, in the food-court area, photo at left shows one, partially eaten before we thought to whip out the camera) - he says “kind of like a giant flat churro.” 3:23 PM UPDATE: Just talked to Pete Spalding, who’s here today in the West Seattle Food Bank booth - he says raffle-ticket sales are going well; somebody came by and bought a sizable stack with money from their “economic-stimulus payment” (you may recall, a group of West Seattle churches urged earlier this year that people consider donating some of the “stimulus” money to those in need). Pete’s also on the Stakeholders’ Advisory Council that’s working on the future of the Central Waterfront section of the Alaskan Way Viaduct, so we also talked about that for a minute - the committee’s getting a briefing this week (media’s invited too and WSB will be there) with further analysis on why the option of “retrofitting” The Viaduct is no longer under consideration. Meantime, we’ve checked with police on how Summer Fest is going from their perspective — Lt. Smith tells us they’ve only had one notable incident here for which a report had to be filed - a burglary at one of the booths, late last night after closing time. 4:07 PM UPDATE: Besides the Summer Fest T-shirts on sale at the spot next to us here in the Information Booth, and the “I Love West Seattle” bumper stickers the Chamber is selling on the other side of us, here’s another way to show West Seattle pride:

morecowbell.jpg

Jason Olcott is selling those T-shirts in a booth of items made/sold by West 5 employees - right in front of West 5. (If you don’t see this till after Summer Fest and you’re interested in contacting him, chunkmag@yahoo.com - we also mentioned his T-shirts during the Art Dive by Hotwire Coffee [WSB sponsor] last September.) And newly available here at the Info Booth - we have bookmark-size flyers with the Movies on the Wall lineup (you can also find that on the “Cinema” tab above; first movie’s next Saturday night!) - some passersby have expressed excitement about the lineup! Uh oh, and a bulletin from the Jones Soda booth - no more soda till 5 pm (but that still means 2 hours of freebies). 4:46 PM UPDATE: Nancy Woodland from WestSide Baby stopped by with big news - First Student, the folks you see advertising for school-bus drivers, will be donating a bus for them to use for the big Stuff the Bus diaper drive two weeks from today (get a package, or two, or more, and drop ‘em off that day, Sunday 7/27, at the bus you’ll see parked right by the West Seattle Farmers’ Market). WestSide Baby already had access to a bus but always had to rustle up a driver, and other logistics, but First Student is going to provide a driver too - and will also help WestSide Baby promote Stuff the Bus in the parade next Saturday. 5:26 PM UPDATE: Hour and a half to go, some features have shut down (the kid craft area, the pet area), but the booths and music are still going strong (Green Pajamas is about to play) - among recent visitors here at the Information Booth were the folks behind two of the West Seattle-based blogs on our Other Blogs in West Seattle page, Kirida and M&M. Also visiting right now, Brian from TouchTech Systems, the newest computer-related store in The Junction, in the breezeway with Many Moons etc. (just south of Oregon). 6:06 PM UPDATE: Snake sighting by Cupcake Royale - you can’t miss its handler, who’s in a wizard suit:

snake.jpg

Speaking of reptiles, we have an update on the High Point iguana (reported here earlier in the weekend) — stand by for that within the next hour or so. 6:36 PM UPDATE: Less than half an hour to go but still lots of people, the temperature’s cooling, great deals at the booths - here’s a sample of Green Pajamas, one of the day’s hot music acts, which is just wrapping up its set:

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Click To Play

6:52 PM UPDATE: Last Summer Fest update unless something dramatic happens in the next 8 minutes or so … it’s been a busy but safe day (per the police assigned to the festival, who have been stationed here at the Info Booth for a while). A question we’ve fielded more than a few times: Who organizes this, and how do you find out about getting a booth for next year? Summer Fest has multiple sponsors but it’s presented/hosted by the West Seattle Junction Association, whose members are Junction businesspeople. Its contact info is at wsjunction.com. Tons more big West Seattle summer events in the days and weeks ahead — including the West Seattle Grand Parade next Saturday — some updates on that coming up here on WSB later tonight. (And thanks again to the West Seattle Chamber of Commerce for the space in the Information Booth where we’ve been headquartered these past three days, publishing continuous updates while trying to help info-seekers a bit — information, after all, is what WSB is all about. And thanks to the many people who’ve stopped by to share info with us - and in doing so, with you - and/or to say hi - it’s been a blast!)


The Swamp: Karl Rove refuses to...

September 28, 2008
posted by admin

Karl Roveby Katie Fretland

There was an empty chair at a House Judiciary subcommittee today and a placard with Karl Rove's name, but there was no Rove.

The former White House deputy chief of staff refused an order to testify about the firing of [...]


Bitesize Monday: Post Fourth Israel...

September 27, 2008
posted by admin

The fourth of July came and gone as quickly as the fireworks show. Unfortunately, San Francisco was too foggy to see anything. Speaking of visibility, I put together a short list of recommended reads to kick off the week on the right foot:

Entrepreneurship 101:

  • One-person companies are earning upward of $1 million in revenue annually. How do they do it? With high-speed Internet connectivity, mobile apps, automation, and a little help from their customers. (Information week)
  • How not to get a VCs attention. Hint: don’t pose a 7 hour ultimatum for a term sheet. (post money value)
  • You are about to present to a VC and you need a financials slide. What should you include?
    Danny Cohen from Gemini has a few good pointers for entrepreneurs. On one foot: keep the excel at home, don’t show graphs, round numbers and make sure your business model makes sense. (Israel Venture Capital 2.0)
  • Mike CassidyMike Cassidy on the importance of building companies FAST. He knows what he’s talking about… Mike founded Stylus Innovation (sold 2 years after launch for $13M), Direct Hit (sold 500 days after launch for $500M), and Xfire (sold 2 years after launch for $110M). Catch the slideshow below (VentureHacks)

    SlideShare | View | Upload your own

Useful Tools:

  • addictomaticSpending a lot of time in front of search engines made me appreciate departures from the traditional ten blue links. Addict-o-matic does a good job in creating a modular search results page. Also check out what people are searching for in the NewsFix page (right now Nadal’s Wimbeldon triumph is hot).

Miscellaneous:

  • Shalmor-Avnon-Amichay, an Israeli advertising agency takes first place at “Advertising Oscar”. The agency won the Golden Lion Award at the Cannes Lions international advertising festival” after leading an awareness campaign for kidnapped Israeli soldiers. (Ynetnews)
  • The five most addictive Facebook Apps are mostly games (SAI)
  • Venture Capital, Angel or bootstrap? (Found|Read)
  • How much are social networks really worth?  Om asks if the hype is justyfied (Giga Om)

Israeli startup news and products:

  • To worry or not to worry? 96% of Israeli VCs predict a wave of layoffs in Israeli high-tech due to the world economic crisis. Based on the Second quarter Israel VC Indicator Survey by Deloitte Brightman Almagor Zohar.
    • Other Gems from this report include:
      “The Economic Slowdown is here”, “IPO Market Closed, Mezzanine funding needed”, “Cleantech is over-hyped” and many interesting stats.
  • Kaltura, the Israeli open source video platform, released MediaWiki, a new extension that enables users to easily embed and edit video, images and audio into Wiki pages. (TechCrunch)
  • Israeli VOIP provider Fring launched fringAdd-ons, a free set of add ons that are meant to enrich Mobile IM chats. Among the new tools available: VTap, a video search and streaming service and Google Gmail notifier which will alert you of incoming Gmail messages. The company is also trying to lure developers with its new shiny Fring API. (Mashable)
  • After months of preparation, Wix went live with its open beta. Create flash pages on the fly and free of charge. (Wix Blog) previous coverage of Wix on VC Cafe here and here.
  • In the midst of the Euro Cup earlier this month, Footbo.com was born. The Israeli website combines social networking with the world of soccer, in the spirit of UK based Ole-Ole. Worth checking out.
  • Will they really Modu? Om Malik interviews Guy Horowitz Director of startegy of Modu. The ambitious Israeli startup is close to completing its $100 million funding goal and was recently awarded for inventing the world’s smallest mobile handset. (GigaOm)
  • Make any computer into a Wii with CamSpace, a new technology developed in Israell. Using CamSpace, all you need is a webcam, and you got yourself an interactive gaming experience.  Yaron Tanne, founder & CEO of CamTrax Technologies, the company behind CamSpace, has been developing the technology practically single-handedly for three years in his apartment in Tel-Aviv. A video is worth a 1000 words:(Roi Carthy)


A Taxing Subject

September 26, 2008
posted by admin

Senator Obama calls Candidate McCain out for misrepresenting his position on taxes. And Republican misrepresentations on the voodoo economics economy voodoo economics surprise voodoo economics us voodoo economics how?

Video thumbnail. Click to play
Click To Play

In related news, Candidate McCain seems to be having difficulties with facts. But, then, that is a Republican thing, ain’t it.

(Editorial Aside: There’s a difference between spin and lies. Spin means putting the best possible face on the facts. Lies mean ignoring the facts. Much of what is called “spin” is actually “lies.”)

Radio ad via TPM.


FAP843: How to pick a student credit...

September 25, 2008
posted by admin

FAP843: How to pick a student credit card, $25,000 scholarship

Listen now:

Student Financial Aid News
+ Bloomberg: 9% of companies plan to hire. Wages fall 2.4%. 28% of companies increasing prices. Tough economic times - if you’re on the employment trail, there’s a difficult road ahead in the short term. Read Purple Cow and Free Prize Inside, both by Seth Godin, for ideas on how you can personally weather the slump and help your respective companies turn things around.
+ BusinessWeek: Universities and their alumni associations have discovered an unlikely and disturbing source of revenue: Increasingly, they are selling students’ personal information to big credit-card companies eager for young customers.
+ Using state public disclosure laws, BusinessWeek has obtained more than two dozen confidential contracts between major schools and card-issuing banks keen to sign up undergraduates with mounting expenses for tuition, books, and travel. In some instances, universities and alumni groups receive larger payments from the banks if students use their school-branded cards more frequently.
+ Some of the country’s best-known and largest schools have multimillion-dollar credit-card deals, including the Universities of Michigan, Minnesota, and South Florida.
+ Inside Higher Ed: New York’s governor, David A. Patterson, plans today to back the creation of a major new student loan program for the state, potentially providing hundreds of thousands of students with loans at significantly lower interest rates than they now obtain through private borrowing, The New York Times reported. The loan proposal is part of the final report of a special commission on higher education, appointed by Eliot Spitzer during his brief term as governor. The final report — also due out today — reiterates many of the themes and ideas of the commission’s first report, and calls for a major infusion of funds into higher education. It is unclear, however, how much money and political will are available for these ideas.

Scholarship Update
+ National Geographic Geography Bee
+ For students in grades 4-8
+ The National Geographic Bee occurs in three stages, beginning at the school level. Schools that register for the Bee receive materials to hold their competitions. Each school winner takes a written test, and the top hundred scorers in each state and territory compete at the state level. State-level Bees are held in the spring, and the winner of each state Bee proceeds to the national competition. The 55 state and territory winners meet at National Geographic Society headquarters in Washington, D.C., for the national competition. The number of contestants is narrowed to ten finalists, who compete for a $25,000 college scholarship. The second- and third-place winners receive $15,000 and $10,000 scholarships, respectively.
+ Deadline October 15
+ Your school must enroll - contact your principal!
+ Details at our free college scholarship search site

Financial Aid 101
+ How to pick a student credit card
+ You probably don’t need one
+ A debit card is good enough 99% of the time
+ A stored value card is also a great idea
+ If you do get one, look for rates and fees
+ No annual fees!
+ Grace period - as long as possible
+ Look at how rates are calculated - many are Prime Rate, which is not bad now. Some may be LIBOR, which at the moment is higher than Prime.
+ Look how the default rate is calculated and when it is triggered - default in normal lending typically applies to someone past 90 days due, but with credit cards, it can be as little as exceeding your credit limit by a dollar.
+ Look at late fees - some can be as high as 29%!
+ Avoid two cycle average daily balance billing, which is a jack
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Video: Iran may face sanctions after...

September 24, 2008
posted by admin

July 19: A chance to calm the stand-off with Iran over its nuclear program fell short when Iran didn’t provide an answer to a proposed deal that could help it avoid more economic sanctions. NBC’s Lester Holt speaks with NBC’s Patty Culhane. (Nightly News)July 19: A chance to calm the stand-off with Iran over its nuclear program fell short when Iran didn’t provide an answer to a proposed deal that could help it avoid more economic sanctions. NBC’s Lester Holt speaks with NBC’s Patty Culhane. (Nightly News)



My Take on the New Yorker Joint w/...

September 23, 2008
posted by admin

cross-posted to Jack & Jill Politics

My people, it has been a while. Apparently a brotha cannot take a vacation without major ish going down! Jesse Jackson is crazy. Tony Snow is dead. Phil Gramm let slip McCain’s true economic idiocy. And the New Yorker has generated more comments on Jack and Jill Politics than any other post.

The first media request I got upon my return was to join fellow (black) comic Jordan Carlos (known for playing the role of Colbert’s black friend and writing this Washington Post op ed about the lack of black comedy writers) on WNYC’s Brian Lehrer show yesterday.

I had been so cut off from media and cell phones that I missed the initial heat and played catch up late into the night reading over 300 comments here and articles elsewhere across the web.

Here’s the audio of our appearance. It’s about 30 minutes, and former New Yorker cartoonist Art Spiegelman joined midway through.

I have mixed feelings on the cover, but I basically come down in defense of it. You should listen to the entire show to hear the range of opinion, including my full explanation of my own, but here are the highlights.

I don’t believe the cartoonist or editors of the New Yorker are out to get the Obamas. Their intention, to satirize the conspiracy theories about the Obamas by combining all in one, seems clear to me even though it is not clear to all. We should, however, distinguish between what PowerLine might mean by the same image vs. The New Yorker.

Satire does not have to be funny to be effective. Many criticisms I’ve read say “That didn’t make me laugh.” If you’re looking for a “joke,” this certainly isn’t it. But if you’re looking for a provocative piece of art that shines a light on something previously below the surface, this is that.

Satire is hard and could always be clearer after the fact. Universal acceptance of any piece of art (and I’m sticking to “art” rather than “comedy” or “humor” intentionally) means the piece probably isn’t saying much. I’m generally defensive of the artist, being one myself and having had my own satire royally misinterpreted. Years ago, I posted what I thought was an objectively funny piece about the Rapture over on dKos under the title “A Final Solution For The Religious Right.” (the point was all the crazy right wing evangelicals getting beamed up by Jesus was a good thing cause they would leave us alone). Most people didn’t get it and focused on the “final solution” in the headline and ripped me for making a joke “about the Holocaust.” I later updated the headline to “A Final Solution For the Religious Right, But Not In A Holocaust-y Way.” Similarly, the idea that this magazine cover could/should have been framed in a Karl Rovian thought bubble might have made it clearer to some, but the essential nature of the piece would be the same.

I don’t think this cover gives any addional “permission” to the Right. Much of the criticism focused on the hypothetical abuse of the image by the right wing. Given the poisoned environment around race and Obama’s politics specifically, I understand this concern, but I would just say that I don’t think Fox News needs any help from the New Yorker in the offensiveness department. We’ve talked about this before in terms of political positioning. The Right is going to attack Obama on patriotism regardless of how he votes or speaks or acts, so he might as well do the principled thing. So goes the argument. A similar logic applies here. Those who already believe every one of those images will see what they already believe. This cover doesn’t turn new people against Obama, and the editors

There is a challenge of knowing who the audience is. So much of the criticism I’ve read says “Well I get it, but they won’t.” I made this point in the show after Jordan said the New Yorker needs to “know its audience.” That’s a nice idea whose time has past. In the age of the Internet and low-analysis cable news, every public expression can reach every person nearly instantly. There is no “audience” because the audience is everyone. Dave Chappelle found this out when he saw some white people laughing at black people through his show rather than at the absurd jokes he was making. He decided to end the show because his real audience was getting things not meant for his intended audience. Obama and Bill Clinton found this out when Mayhill Fowler aired their semi-private statements for all the world to see. This is a tough reality for anyone expressing an idea in public, whether a magazine, comedian or politician.

I understand and think the criticism is valid, however. I’m not saying that people upset by the cover are wrong or “don’t get it.” I’ve learned from my own past experience and from this campaign just how deeply frustration over an image or statement can run. Beyond the Obamas, there are those who abuse the idea of art/comedy/free speech as a cover for their own racism and hate. The white comic who uses the N word because he just wants to but excuses it as an act of artistic defiance is not the same as the artist trying to make a poignant social point. Michael Richards is not Bill Hicks.

Many of us are worn down by the ignorance spewed on a regular basis about the Obamas. We’ve seen official debates in which his love for America is questioned. We’ve seen a simple cultural expression (the pound) foolishly referred to as terrorism. We’ve seen the contradictory fears of his Muslimness promoted at the same time as his membership in a crazy America-hating Christian church. We’ve seen Michelle Obama villified for things she never even said about “whitey.” We will see more. When Malia and Sasha get cornrows, this country will lose its ever-lovin mind and ask, “Are the Obama children gang bangers??”

In this environment, any expression that seems to add to the incessantly rising tide of stupidity and distraction will be greated with skepticism and frustration and anger. I get that, and so I don’t flippantly dismiss those of you/us who are enraged. But I hope we can also see the value and acknowledge the intention behind this work and not just focus on the hypothetical interpretation and abuse by “others.” I hope we can distinguish between friends and true enemies. I hope we can see the good that may yet come of this incident.

The controversy and conversation is a very good thing for the real problem: the hard-to-combat whisper campaign around the Obama’s patriotism. It’s hard to fight rumors. Directly denying them often validates the position of those who believe in them. John Kerry will never be a war hero again to many folks. He’ll be an elite, out of touch, self-aggrandizing windsurfer for the rest of his days. If the world of artists can overexpose these rumors, by the time we get to November, it really will be played out and hack. The fact that the “terrorist fist jab” is ridiculed in almost every pop-cultural outlet is a good thing.

It won’t change the mind of those who actually believe Obama is a terrorist, but nothing will ever satisfy that minority. They are lost to reason and should not be used as a basis for judgment. So what if Fox uses this magazine cover!. They are beyond redemption and don’t really need to. They could just darken Obama’s skin, broaden his nose and thicken his lips as their own track record shows them capable of such acts. The person sitting on the fence, however, will see that such beliefs are being ridiculed en masse by the popular culture and may dismiss them as they should. The fact that many in the country have been talking about this cover is ultimately a good thing (even if you think the cover itself was bad) because it brings into the light the shady theories and lets us show them for the foolishness they are.

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STAND FOR TRUTH IN THE POLITICAL...

September 22, 2008
posted by admin

Stand for truth with JJ in the political arena! I talk about Conservatives, Democrats, World News, War on Terror and in Iraq. Support our Troops & our Generals who are calling the shots. Let them do their jobs! We are not in a recession but in an economic slow down!


PMI Reports on U.S. Market Risk Index...

September 21, 2008
posted by admin

House Price Risk - PMI Summer 2008

Last week, PMI Mortgage Insurance Co released its Summer 2008 U.S. Market Risk Index, which ranks the nation’s 50 largest metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) according to the likelihood that home prices will be lower in two years.

The bad news? The Phoenix real estate market has (according to PMI) a 79.6 percent probability of home prices declining over the next two years. This places Phoenix at #11 (and be glad you’re not in Riverside-San Bernadino–Ontario California which sports a whopping 95.5% Risk Index…).

The good news? That’s down from an 82.3% chance in Q4 2007. Overall, 35 of the nation’s 50 largest MSAs and 326 out of all 381 MSAs experienced a decline in Risk Index since Q4 2007. In other, more cheery words, there seems to be less risk of home price declines than when last analyzed in late 2007.

Interestingly, Phoenix and Las Vegas were the only “high risk” MSAs to show a decline in Risk Index. California in fact showed an increased risk in 25 of their 28 MSAs. Ouch.

Of note: Phoenix continues to show a very low unemployment rate (3.67% in this report). High employment levels (or conversely, low unemployment rates) are generally considered a positive economic indicator and bode well for housing demand.

This is an interesting report, jammed full of data. The data is also summarized nicely, though they do say things like this:

But the picture of home price performance changes significantly if the 59 MSAs located in California, Florida, Nevada, and Arizona are removed from the total.

Statements like that are just beyond stupid. Of course things change significantly if you simply ignore 59 MSAs in the four hardest hit states. My college stats professor would be wanting to squish the numbskull that wrote that nugget. 

Here is a list of the Top 14 MSA’s with the greatest risk of declining home prices:

Risk Index Top 14

Linkage:

Here is the press release.

The entire Economic Real Estate Trends report in PDF format is available — Chart-o-holic alert!

And finally, here is the appendix listing the Risk Index for all 381 Metropolitan Statistical Areas. 

Go forth and absorb your daily dose of real estate statistics.

 




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Related Articles at The Phoenix Real Estate Guy:

    Phoenix Real Estate Has a 64% Chance of Dropping in Value, Some Say…
    MSN on “The Riskiest Housing Markets”; and that’s not Exactly What I Said…
    Phoenix Real Estate: Economic and Market Watch Report Q3 2007



Deseret News (Salt Lake City) -...

September 20, 2008
posted by admin

June 5, 2008 -- Investor optimism on U.S. stocks rose the most in two months last week after the government said economic growth accelerated and oil prices declined,...


Apple Sold Through 1 Million 3G iPhones

September 19, 2008
posted by admin

Apple Sold Through 1 Million 3G iPhones Despite activation woes and generally glum economic news that accompanied its launch, Apple’s 3G iPhone put the original to shame this weekend by selling 1 million units in just three days.  The company released its official figures on Monday. “iPhone 3G had a stunning opening weekend,” said Apple CEO Steve Jobs, in a statement. “It took 74 days to sell the first one million original iPhones, so the new iPhone 3G is clearly off to a great start around the world.”

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Norges Bank. Economic Bulletin -...

September 18, 2008
posted by admin

April 1, 2008 -- Interest rates and other financial asset prices are based on expectations about economic developments. Asset prices react to new information. In this...